NEW DELHI, — The idyllic town of Pahalgam, nestled in India’s Kashmir Valley, was scarred by a terrorist attack on April 22 that left 26 people dead, mostly tourists reveling in the region’s scenic beauty. Indian authorities have pinned the blame on Pakistan’s Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI), accusing it of masterminding the assault through proxies like The Resistance Front, a front for the Pakistan-based Lashkar-e-Taiba.
The massacre has shattered Kashmir’s fragile peace and laid bare Pakistan’s persistent violation of the Simla Agreement, a 1972 treaty meant to foster stability between the two nations. Pakistan’s recent suspension of the accord, paired with its provocative rhetoric, signals a dangerous escalation that threatens South Asia’s security.
The Simla Agreement, signed on July 2, 1972, by Indian Prime Minister Indira Gandhi and Pakistani President Zulfikar Ali Bhutto, was born from the 1971 India-Pakistan war, which culminated in Bangladesh’s independence. Designed to pave the way for enduring peace, the treaty emphasized bilateral dialogue and mutual respect for the Line of Control (LoC) in Jammu and Kashmir.
Its key provisions, found in subsections 1 and 2 of clause 4, required both nations to withdraw forces to their respective sides of the international border and uphold the LoC established after the December 17, 1971, ceasefire.
The agreement explicitly forbade unilateral attempts to alter the LoC or the use of force to challenge it. For India, the treaty was a diplomatic victory, cementing Kashmir as a bilateral issue, free from external interference.
Pakistan, however, has treated the Simla Agreement as little more than a paper promise. Its military and ISI have consistently undermined the treaty through covert and overt aggression.
The 1999 Kargil War, when Pakistani forces crossed the LoC to seize Indian territory, was a flagrant breach that risked all-out war. Later attacks, such as the 2016 Uri strike and the 2019 Pulwama bombing, carried the unmistakable imprint of ISI-supported terror groups.
The Pahalgam attack follows this playbook, with Indian officials alleging that the ISI’s backing of militants is a calculated move to destabilize Kashmir’s economy and inflame tensions among its Hindu, Muslim, and other communities. “Pakistan’s deep state thrives on sowing discord,” said an Indian security official, who requested anonymity to discuss sensitive intelligence.
Pakistan’s reaction to the Pahalgam attack has been one of defiance and denial. On April 24, Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif’s government declared the suspension of the Simla Agreement and other bilateral pacts, citing India’s suspension of the Indus Waters Treaty as justification. Pakistani Foreign Office spokesperson Shafqat Ali framed the decision as a response to India’s “escalatory actions,” while the National Security Committee accused India of “orchestrating terrorism” and violating international norms. These claims echo Pakistan’s long-standing efforts to internationalize the Kashmir dispute, including appeals to the United Nations for mediation—moves that defy the Simla Agreement’s bilateral framework. “Pakistan’s suspension of the treaty is not a break from policy but a confirmation of its disregard for it,” an Indian diplomat observed.
The international community has grown wary of Pakistan’s tactics. India has responded with measured steps, halting visas for Pakistani citizens and sealing the Wagah border, while Prime Minister Narendra Modi has pledged to hunt down the attackers “to the ends of the Earth.” The United States, fresh from extraditing a suspect tied to the 2008 Mumbai attacks, has quietly backed India’s anti-terrorism efforts, though it has avoided direct involvement. Pakistan’s attempts to shift blame, accusing India of fabricating attacks to justify crackdowns in Kashmir, have gained little credibility abroad.
For India, the Simla Agreement remains a pillar of its pursuit of peace, a commitment undeterred by Pakistan’s provocations. Yet, Pakistan’s open support for terrorism and its rejection of the treaty risk plunging the region into chaos. A Pahalgam shopkeeper, mourning a relative killed in the attack, captured the sentiment of many: “India seeks harmony, but Pakistan’s shadow agencies feed on violence. When will this end?” With cross-border skirmishes intensifying along the LoC, the question remains: Will Pakistan’s leadership curb its rogue ISI, or will it allow the agency’s machinations to dictate the region’s fate?